Q1.Thefollowingtableliststhepricesof2goods,andthequantitiesaconsumerchoseofthegoods,in5differentsituations.(Forexample,thesecondrowindicatesthattheconsumerchosethebundlex=(10,32)whenthepricevectorwasp=(4,2).)
Fromthesedata,whatcanbeconcludedabouttheconsumer’spreferences?Explainbriefly.
t12345
pt1321
pt212345
xt1510112025
xt240325113
A1.Giventhedatainthetableabove,thecostofeachbundleineachsituationcanbecomputed.Rowshererepresentthedifferentperiods,andcolumnsthedifferentbundles.
t12345
bundle165100135170205
bundle282104126148170
bundle360484236
bundle4111102938475
bundle5128106846240
(So,forexample,bundle2wouldcost148usingperiod–4prices.)
Ifanelementonthediagonaloftheabovematrixisgreaterthanorequaltoanelementinthesamerow,thenthebundlechoseninthatyearhasbeenrevealedpreferredtothebundlechosenintheotheryear.
So,forexample,thefirstrowofthematrixshowsthatx1waschosenwhenx3wasinthebudgetset,sothatx1isrevealedpreferredtox3.Usingtheshorthand“rpt”for“revealedpreferredto”(or“chosenover”),therowsshowthatx1rptx3;x2rptallofx1,x3andx4;x4rptx3andx5;x5rptx3.
Thisconsumer’spreferencesdonotviolatetheweakaxiomofrevealedpreference.Thedataalsoshowthatbundle2ishermostpreferredbundle,andbundle3herleastpreferred.Bundles1,4and5arerankedinthemiddle:theonlyinformationgivenbythetableconcerningtherelativerankingofthesethreebundlesisthat4isrankedhigherthan5.Butitwouldbeconsistentwiththesedataforhertorankthem145,or415,or451.
[Ifyoudidtheoriginal“mistaken”versionofthequestion,inwhichthepricesinsituation#5were(5,1),thentherewouldbe2violationsofWARP:bundles2and5,andbundles4and5.]
Q2.Findalltheviolationsofthestrongandweakaxiomsofrevealedpreferenceinthefollowingtable,whichindicatesthepricesptofthreedifferentcommoditiesatfourdifferenttimes,andthequantitiesxtofthe3goodschosenatthefourdifferenttimes.
t1234
pt158102
pt224210
pt37242
xt165108
xt210121012
xt312151010
A2..Againamatrixcanbeconstructedshowingthecostofeachbundleineachperiod.
t1234
bundle1134112128136
bundle21118134160
bundle3140140160140
bundle4134132144156
Letting“irpt”standfor“‘indirectlyrevealedpreferredto”,thentherowsshow:bundle1rptbundle4;bundle2rptbundle1;bundle3rptallotherbundles;bundle4rptbundles1and3.So:bundle1rptbundle4butbundle4rptbundle1;bundle3rptbundle4butbundle4rptbundle3;bundle1irptbundle2(sincebundle1rptbundle4rptbundle3rptbundle2)butbundle2rptbundle1;bundle1irptbundle3(sincebundle1rptbundle4rptbundle3)butbundle3rptbundle1;bundle2irptbundle3(sincebundle2rptbundle1rptbundle4rptbundle3)butbundle3rptbundle2;bundle2irptbundle4(sincebundle2rptbundle1rptbundle4)butbundle4irptbundle2(sincebundle4rptbundle3rptbundle2).
Thereare2pairsofconsumptionbundleswhichviolateWARP,andanother4whichviolateSARPbutnotWARP.InfacthereeverypairofconsumptionbundlesviolatesSARP.
Q3.Supposethataperson’sutility–of–wealthfunctioncouldbewritten
u(W)=A−e−βW
whereβ>0.
WhatwouldbetheriskpremiumassociatedwithaprojectwhichyieldedthepersonareturnofX>0withprobabilityπ,andapayoffofzerowithprobability1−π?Howdoesthepremiumvarywiththe“goodstate”returnX?
A3.ThecertaintyequivalentCtothisprojectisthesolutiontotheequation
e−β(W+C)=πe−β(W+X)+(1−π)e−βW
(3−1)
wheretheleftsideistheutitlityfromgetingCforsure,andtherightsideistheexpectedutilityfromtheproject.
Dividingbothsidesofequation(3−1)bye−βW,
e−βC=πe−βX+1−π
or
C=−
(3−2)
1
ln(πe−βX+1−π)β
(3−3)
TheriskpremiumPequalstheexpectedreturntotheproject,minusC.TheexpectedreturnhereisπX,sothat
1
P=πX+ln(πe−βX+1−π)(3−4)
βDifferentiating(3−4),
πe−βX∂P
=π−−βX∂Xπe+1−π
NowsinceX>0,then
e−βX<1
sothat
πe−βX+1−π>πe−βX+(1−π)e−βX=e−βX
implyingthat
πe−βX
<π
πe−βX+1−π
(3−7)(3−6)(3−5)
Equation(3−7)(substitutedintoequation(3−5))indicatesthatanincreaseinthereturnXwhentheinvestmentpaysoffwillincreasetheriskpremiumPassociatedwiththeinvestment.
Q4.Supposeaperson’sutility–of–wealthfunctioncouldbewritten
u(W)=Wa
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